2009—2018年中国水稻播种面积与产量变化情况分析
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湖南省农业科技创新资金项目(2020CX06–01)


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    摘要:

    为探明2009—2018年中国水稻生产种植面积及产量变化情况,利用国家统计局2009—2018年水稻产量和播种面积数据,分析了全国水稻生产主力省(区)10年间播种面积和产量变化的主导因素,并量化了播种面积和单产对水稻产量变化的贡献率。结果表明:水稻生产主力省(区)中,黑龙江省稻作面积波动较大,年平均波动幅度为4.70%;产量波动较大的是黑龙江省和湖北省,年平均波动幅度分别为3.24%、3.49%;在产量变化贡献上,全国产量变化以单产水平提升为主,但各主力省(区)主导因素有差别,在保持全国各地区单产水平持续提升的情况下,应控制稻作面积缩减,扬长补短,因地制宜。

    Abstract:

    In order to explore the variation and fluctuation of rice production acreage, yield in China from 2009 to 2018, we used the data on the rice annual output and its sown area collected by the National Bureau of Statistics from 2009 to 2018 and analyzed the changes and fluctuations of rice sown area and its yield over the country for the studied time range. In the analysis, the main factors of the rice production, the contribution rate of sown area and yield per unit area to the change of rice yield were took into account. It was found that the rice cropping area in Heilongjiang Province fluctuated greatly, with an average annual fluctuation range of 4.70%. Heilongjiang Province and Hubei Province showed the largest annual output fluctuation, with an average annual fluctuation range of 3.24% and 3.49%, respectively. In terms of the contribution of yield change, the national yield change was dominated by the per unit area yield improvement, with various leading factors for each main province. We should keep the per unit area yield level over the country, curb the decreasing tend on the rice cultivation area and adjust the planting strategies based on the local conditions.

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陈博,敖和军,曾晓珊.2009—2018年中国水稻播种面积与产量变化情况分析[J].湖南农业大学学报:自然科学版,2021,47(5):.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-11-02
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