近33年衡阳盆地的气候变化与干旱发展趋势
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国家自然科学基金资助项目(41171075,71273081)


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    摘要:

    全球变暖背景下区域气候变化响应已引起学术界的高度关注,将气候变化与干旱趋势相结合进行研究具有理论意义。利用衡阳盆地1981—2013年的逐日气温和降水量,综合分析衡阳盆地的气候变化特征与干旱发展趋势。结果表明:衡阳盆地的气候呈暖干趋势发展,年平均气温增加0.034 1 ℃,其中春季升温贡献最大,春季气温年增加0.054 4 ℃;年降水量约减少0.808 0 mm,呈缓慢减少趋势,以秋季降水的减幅最大,年减少3.335 1 mm;利用综合气象干旱指数(CDI)法计算出干旱频率年增加0.379 9%,其中秋季干旱频率增加最大,年增加0.910 4%,不同等级干旱类型中,以特旱频率增加率最大,年增加0.231 6%。

    Abstract:

    It is of great theoretic and practical implications to study regional climatic change and drought trend at the background of global warming, which was extensively concerned by academic circles. Climatic change and drought trend were analysed by mathematical statistical method using daily temperature and precipitation data collected from 1981 to 2013 in Hengyang basin. The results showed that the climate in Hengyang basin had a warm dry trend with 0.034 1 ℃ annual average temperature increase per year, moreover, the increase trend was mostly dedicated by spring among four seasons with 0.054 4 ℃ temperature increase per year. The annual precipitation was reduced about 0.808 0 mm per year and the maximum reduction occurred in autumn with 3.335 1 mm decrease per year. The drought frequency increased 0.379 9 percent per year calculated by compound index (CDI) of meteorological drought and mainly increased in autumn with 0.910 4% increase per year. Among all grades of drought, extreme drought frequency increased with annual rate of 0.231 6%, ranked first.

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刘兰芳,肖志成,陈涛,周松秀.近33年衡阳盆地的气候变化与干旱发展趋势[J].湖南农业大学学报:自然科学版,2014,40(6):.

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  • 最后修改日期:2014-12-01
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  • 在线发布日期: 2014-12-01
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